After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager

After plotting demand for four periods, an emergency room manager has concluded that a trend-adjusted exponential smoothing model is appropriate to predict future demand. The initial estimate of trend is based on the net change of 30 for the three periods from 1 to 4, for an average of +10 units.

Period Actual Period Actual
1 201 6 262
2 222 7 271
3 228 8 282
4 231 9 282
5 254 10

Use α=.5 and β=.1, and TAF of 250 for period 5. Obtain forecasts for periods 6 through 10. (Round your intermediate calculations and final answers to 2 decimal places.)

t Period TAFt
6
7
8
9
10

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